Ben Shelton vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima have met 6 times since 2024; Ben Shelton leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston in 2024 on clay. On hard courts Shelton leads 5–0. Shelton has won the last 6 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Shelton leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 13 sets to Nakashima's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ben Shelton won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelton | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ben Shelton | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 16/32 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 52% | 26/50 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 14/40 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 22/39 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 16/30 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shelton 4, Nakashima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelton
🤖 Servebot
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 14, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Final
Aug 1, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 12, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 1, 2024
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 5, 2024
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shelton | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ben Shelton | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 10 or more | 26% | 5/19 | 52% | 11/21 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 5% | 1/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 15–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +9.9% | +27.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.08u | +5.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shelton has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Nakashima's 50%).
| Opponent | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | W 63 76 | W 62 61 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 67 63 64 | L 36 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 75 46 36 | W 61 36 107 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 67 75 26 | L 67 75 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 63 63 75 | L 57 36 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 16 61 76 62 | L 67 67 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 57 36 | W 62 61 60 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 76 67 67 | W 76 46 63 |
| Martin Damm | W 64 46 64 | W 76 62 |
| Marcos Giron | W 67 64 76 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 13
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Stefanos Tsitsipas
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–65 matches
| Metric | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 59% |
| Sets won | 61% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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