Ben Shelton vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima have met 6 times since 2024; Ben Shelton leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston in 2024 on clay. On hard courts Shelton leads 5–0. Shelton has won the last 6 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Shelton leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 13 sets to Nakashima's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ben Shelton won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelton | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ben Shelton | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 15/31 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 25/47 | 29% | 16/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 13/37 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 21/36 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shelton 4, Nakashima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelton
🤖 Servebot
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 14, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Final
Aug 1, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 12, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 1, 2024
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 5, 2024
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shelton | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ben Shelton | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 43% | 9/21 |
| 15 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 10% | 2/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 16–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +14.8% | +38.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.67u | +8.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 12 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Shelton's 40%).
| Opponent | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 76 67 67 | W 76 46 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 63 61 | W 76 36 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 64 67 46 | W 62 61 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 64 57 46 | L 46 67 |
| Martin Damm | W 64 46 64 | W 76 62 |
| Marcos Giron | W 67 64 76 | L 67 16 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 67 57 | L 75 16 67 67 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 57 46 | W 63 63 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 46 76 36 | L 67 46 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 64 76 | L 63 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alejandro Tabilo
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–61 matches
| Metric | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 61% |
| Sets won | 60% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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