Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈBen Shelton
#4 Β· 23 yrs Β· L
4 meetings Β· sets 4β9

πͺπΈCarlos Alcaraz
#3 Β· 23 yrs Β· R
7TitleBen Shelton and Carlos Alcaraz have met 4 times since 2023; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 2β1. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 4 sets to Alcaraz's 9. Their most recent meeting: Ben Shelton won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelton | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ben Shelton | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 16/32 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 52% | 26/50 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 14/40 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 22/39 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 16/30 | 82% | 18/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shelton 0, Alcaraz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelton
π€ Servebot
Alcaraz
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 9, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 1, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 4th Round
Sep 21, 2024
Laver Cup - Berlin
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Aug 10, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shelton | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ben Shelton | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 26% | 5/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelton | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15β6 | 11β1 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 1.15 |
| ROI % | +9.9% | +4.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.08u | +0.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelton | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 7,032 mi Β· 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR β JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Shelton's 30%).
| Opponent | Shelton | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 46 | W 76 64 |
| Jaume Munar | L 36 46 | W 57 63 61 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 76 67 63 64 | W |
| Taylor Fritz | L 76 67 67 | W 63 46 1311 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 67 75 26 | W 64 76 67 67 75 |
| Jaime Faria | L 46 46 | W 46 60 63 62 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 63 76 | W 64 64 |
| Otto Virtanen | L 46 63 76 26 67 | W 64 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 36 46 46 | L 67 36 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 76 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA Β· Rubber 4
Sep 19
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA Β· Rubber 2
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York Β· Final
Sep 13
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 11
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Stefanos Tsitsipas
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London Β· Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 42β65 matches
| Metric | Shelton | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 86% |
| Sets won | 61% | 78% |
| Games won | 53% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shelton | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shelton | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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