Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈBen Shelton
#9 Β· 23 yrs Β· L
Title3 meetings Β· sets 1β7

πͺπΈCarlos Alcaraz
#3 Β· 23 yrs Β· R
20wBen Shelton and Carlos Alcaraz have met 3 times since 2023; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 2β0. Alcaraz has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 1 sets to Alcaraz's 7. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelton | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ben Shelton | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 15/31 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 25/47 | 23% | 7/31 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 13/37 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 21/36 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | 91% | 20/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shelton 0, Alcaraz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelton
π€ Servebot
Alcaraz
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 1, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 4th Round
Sep 21, 2024
Laver Cup - Berlin
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Aug 10, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelton | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14β4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | - |
| ROI % | +14.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.67u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelton | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 9 | β |
| Distance | 1,200 mi Β· 1,932 km | β |
| Route | USA β CAN β USA | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Shelton's 60%).
| Opponent | Shelton | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 76 | W 62 64 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 63 76 | W 64 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 63 62 | W 64 63 |
| Otto Virtanen | L 46 63 76 26 67 | W 64 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 76 67 67 | W 67 75 63 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 67 76 76 | W 64 62 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 36 46 46 | L 67 36 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 76 | W 64 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 57 36 | W 61 63 |
| Casper Ruud | W 36 64 63 64 | W 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Final
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Semifinals
Aug 13
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 4th Round
Aug 10
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alejandro Tabilo
Citi Open - Washington Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona Β· 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo Β· Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo Β· Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo Β· Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo Β· 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo Β· 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 42β55 matches
| Metric | Shelton | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 86% |
| Sets won | 60% | 80% |
| Games won | 52% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shelton | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shelton | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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