Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz have met 6 times since 2023; Carlos Alcaraz leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 4–1. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 11 sets to Fritz's 4. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Nitto ATP Finals - Turin (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 41% | 23/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 65% | 20/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Fritz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Nov 11, 2025
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 30, 2025
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · Final
Sep 20, 2025
Laver Cup - San Francisco
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 11, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Sep 22, 2024
Laver Cup - Berlin
H Hard · Round Robin
Mar 30, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 19–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.44 |
| ROI % | - | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | - | +2.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 8 |
| Distance | — | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | — | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Fritz's 50%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 64 | L 67 64 36 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | L 46 46 26 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | W 76 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | W 46 76 75 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | L 64 57 46 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | L 46 76 26 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 36 75 46 | W 67 64 76 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 64 75 | L 46 36 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 75 | W 76 57 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–68 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 65% |
| Sets won | 80% | 60% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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