Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πͺπΈCarlos Alcaraz
#3 Β· 23 yrs Β· R
7Title7 meetings Β· sets 13β5

πΊπΈTaylor Fritz
#12 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz have met 7 times since 2023; Carlos Alcaraz leads 6β1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 5β1. Alcaraz has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 13 sets to Fritz's 5. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Laver Cup - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 35% | 15/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Fritz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
π The Complete Package
Fritz
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π The Complete Package vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2026
Laver Cup - London
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Nov 11, 2025
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Sep 30, 2025
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard Β· Final
Sep 20, 2025
Laver Cup - San Francisco
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Jul 11, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass Β· Semifinals
Sep 22, 2024
Laver Cup - Berlin
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Mar 30, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11β1 | 11β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | -11.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | -1.78u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi Β· 11,317 km | 7,032 mi Β· 11,317 km |
| Route | GBR β JPN β CHN | GBR β JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Fritz's 50%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 76 61 | W 75 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 64 | L 46 76 26 |
| Jaume Munar | W 57 63 61 | L 76 46 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 46 61 | W 63 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 16 36 61 67 | W 67 76 76 |
| Tommy Paul | W 64 63 64 | L 46 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | L 46 46 26 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | W 76 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | W 46 76 75 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | L 64 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London Β· Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Carlos Alcaraz
Laver Cup - London Β· Round Robin
Sep 26
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Mattia Bellucci
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darwin Blanch
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 42β61 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 62% |
| Sets won | 78% | 59% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 3 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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