Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Taylor Fritz have met 6 times since 2021; Taylor Fritz leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Fritz leads 3–2. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 6 sets to Fritz's 11. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 23/31 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 16/50 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 18/32 | 35% | 15/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Fritz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Taylor Fritz are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 21, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 2, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 11, 2026
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 13, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 10, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 30, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -11.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -1.78u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Nakashima's 40%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 76 36 67 | W 76 64 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 26 | L 36 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 76 36 46 | L 63 64 36 46 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 60 61 61 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 46 46 | W 63 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 62 61 60 | L 64 57 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 57 36 | L 46 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | W 67 76 76 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 64 | W 76 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Carlos Alcaraz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Mattia Bellucci
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darwin Blanch
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 62% |
| Sets won | 59% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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