Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈBrandon Nakashima
#17 Β· 25 yrs Β· R
36 meetings Β· sets 6β11

πΊπΈTaylor Fritz
#10 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
TitleBrandon Nakashima and Taylor Fritz have met 6 times since 2021; Taylor Fritz leads 4β2. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Fritz leads 3β2. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 6 sets to Fritz's 11. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 41% | 23/56 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 65% | 20/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Fritz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
π€ Servebot
Fritz
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Taylor Fritz are π€ Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 21, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 1, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Feb 11, 2026
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Aug 13, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Oct 10, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jun 30, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 24/24 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 24/24 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 96% | 23/24 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 79% | 19/24 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 42% | 10/24 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 17% | 4/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16β5 | 19β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | +2.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 13 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi Β· 1,932 km | 1,200 mi Β· 1,932 km |
| Route | USA β CAN β USA | USA β CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Nakashima's 50%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 57 36 | L 46 46 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | W 75 76 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | W 67 76 76 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 64 | W 76 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | L 67 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 36 64 | W 64 63 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 46 06 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 75 46 | L 46 46 26 |
| Patrick Kypson | W 64 64 | W 62 62 75 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 67 16 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington Β· Final
Aug 3
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington Β· Semifinals
Aug 1
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 61β68 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 65% |
| Sets won | 59% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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