Brandon Nakashima vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Ugo Humbert have met 6 times since 2018; Ugo Humbert leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Humbert leads 4–0. Humbert has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 4 sets to Humbert's 11. Their most recent meeting: Ugo Humbert won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 35% | 18/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 15/29 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Humbert 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Ugo Humbert are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 28, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 27, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 6, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
May 7, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 27, 2018
US Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -42.7% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -2.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Humbert's 60%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 75 | W 76 63 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 46 46 | L 57 76 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 46 63 | W 63 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | W 76 36 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 76 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | L 46 36 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 76 67 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 76 36 46 | L 46 36 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 76 62 | W 26 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Brandon Nakashima
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–60 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 55% |
| Sets won | 59% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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