Brandon Nakashima vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Ugo Humbert have met 5 times since 2018; Ugo Humbert leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Humbert leads 3–0. Humbert has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 4 sets to Humbert's 9. Their most recent meeting: Ugo Humbert won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 88% | 28/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Humbert 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Ugo Humbert are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 28, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 27, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 6, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
May 7, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 27, 2018
US Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -11.5% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 13 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Humbert's 60%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 46 63 | W 63 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | W 76 36 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 76 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | L 46 36 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 76 67 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 76 36 46 | L 46 36 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 76 62 | W 26 76 76 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 | L 36 75 36 |
| Marin Cilic | L 62 46 67 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Zizou Bergs
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Zizou Bergs
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Final
Jun 28
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Quentin Halys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 59% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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