Brandon Nakashima vs Rinky HijikataPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Rinky Hijikata have met 4 times since 2024; Brandon Nakashima leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston in 2024 on clay. On hard courts Nakashima leads 2–1. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 7 sets to Hijikata's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 29% | 9/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 38% | 30/79 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 67% | 26/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 73% | 27/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 3, Hijikata 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Hijikata
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 8, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 8, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 22, 2024
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 3, 2024
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | +15.7% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | +2.98u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 13 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Hijikata's 60%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | W 36 76 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 57 36 | L 46 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 36 64 | L 36 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 62 75 | W 64 62 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | W 64 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 62 61 | L 57 26 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 16 46 |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | W 63 76 75 | W 63 60 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 | W 36 63 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 67 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Darwin Blanch
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Luciano Darderi
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Gael Monfils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jaume Munar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 2
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–83 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 59% |
| Sets won | 59% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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