Brandon Nakashima vs Rinky HijikataPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Rinky Hijikata have met 4 times since 2024; Brandon Nakashima leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston in 2024 on clay. On hard courts Nakashima leads 2–1. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 7 sets to Hijikata's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 56% | 25/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 26% | 8/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 37% | 28/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 57% | 20/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 15/29 | 66% | 25/38 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 91% | 32/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 71% | 25/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 3, Hijikata 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Hijikata
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 8, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 8, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 22, 2024
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 3, 2024
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.81 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -17.5% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -2.45u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Hijikata's 50%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 76 36 67 | W 67 76 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 26 | L 16 26 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 64 | W 62 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 61 36 107 | L 36 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 75 16 67 67 | L 57 64 36 57 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | W 36 76 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 57 36 | L 46 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 62 75 | W 64 62 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | W 64 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 62 61 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Felix Auger Aliassime
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–81 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 57% |
| Sets won | 59% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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