Alexander Zverev vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Brandon Nakashima have met 6 times since 2020; Alexander Zverev leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Zverev leads 4–0. Zverev has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 15 sets to Nakashima's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 30/44 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 22/61 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 29/52 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 23/33 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 39/46 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 30/46 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 2, Nakashima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
💥 Big Hitter
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 8, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 13, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 13, 2025
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Sep 1, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
May 27, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 2, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 10 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 52% | 11/21 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 5% | 1/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–4 | 15–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | +27.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.35u | +5.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Nakashima's 70%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | W 64 67 63 | W 62 64 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 63 64 | W 76 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 62 67 911 | W 76 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 75 62 36 63 | W 61 36 107 |
| Ben Shelton | W 63 76 57 62 | L 36 67 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 62 75 61 | L 36 64 67 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 62 76 | W 62 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 | L 57 36 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 62 | W 76 46 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 26 63 76 | W 67 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Cameron Norrie
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Alex de Minaur
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–88 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 59% |
| Sets won | 72% | 58% |
| Games won | 56% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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