Alexander Zverev vs Brandon NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Brandon Nakashima have met 6 times since 2020; Alexander Zverev leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Zverev leads 4–0. Zverev has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 15 sets to Nakashima's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 21/60 | 29% | 16/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 25/48 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 19/28 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 27/42 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 2, Nakashima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
🤖 Servebot
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Zverev and Brandon Nakashima are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 8, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 13, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 13, 2025
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Sep 1, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
May 27, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 2, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 12/18 | 43% | 9/21 |
| 15 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 10% | 2/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 16–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -5.0% | +38.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +8.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 13 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Zverev's 60%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 | L 57 36 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 62 | W 76 46 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 26 63 76 | W 67 76 61 |
| Ben Shelton | W 63 76 | L 36 67 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 61 63 | W 76 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 61 67 06 | W 62 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 64 36 26 | W 76 57 75 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 76 26 46 | L 67 67 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 75 63 | W 62 61 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 16 46 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Cameron Norrie
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 7
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–81 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 61% |
| Sets won | 67% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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