Lorenzo Sonego vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Sonego and Ugo Humbert have met 9 times since 2021; Ugo Humbert leads 6–3. Their first meeting came at Rogers Cup - Toronto in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Sonego leads 3–1. On hard courts Humbert leads 4–0. Humbert has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sonego has taken 11 sets to Humbert's 14. Their most recent meeting: Ugo Humbert won at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sonego | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Sonego | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 14/37 | 35% | 18/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 8/18 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 10/19 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sonego 0, Humbert 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Lorenzo Sonego and Ugo Humbert are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Oct 17, 2025
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 25, 2025
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Feb 14, 2025
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 26, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 11, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Sep 28, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
May 31, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 11, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 9, 2021
Rogers Cup - Toronto
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sonego | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Sonego | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.57 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -42.4% | -42.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.09u | -2.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sonego | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Humbert has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sonego's 20%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | L 75 57 26 | W 63 62 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 61 76 | W 63 64 63 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 67 57 | W 64 61 |
| Ben Shelton | L 57 36 | L 76 36 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 64 36 46 67 | W 63 64 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 76 46 76 67 62 | W 61 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 46 61 57 | W 76 67 64 |
| Tommy Paul | L 36 26 46 | L 36 36 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 36 36 | L 36 75 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 36 | L 46 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Brandon Nakashima
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–56 matches
| Metric | Sonego | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 55% |
| Sets won | 46% | 56% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sonego | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sonego | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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