Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego have met 7 times since 2016; Andrey Rublev leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Cortina in 2016 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. On hard courts Rublev leads 3–0. Rublev has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 13 sets to Sonego's 6. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 4, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2026
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 1, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Nov 5, 2024
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 2, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 15, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 1, 2020
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Final
Aug 4, 2016
Cortina
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | -42.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | -5.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sonego's 40%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | L 46 46 | W 62 76 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 57 76 | L 67 57 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | L 63 67 46 |
| Juncheng Shang | L 57 64 67 | W 63 63 |
| Gabriel Diallo | L 76 67 36 | W 76 46 76 67 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | L 62 67 46 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | W 76 26 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 36 | L 57 36 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 36 76 62 | L 46 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 67 63 75 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 44% |
| Sets won | 58% | 46% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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