Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego have met 7 times since 2016; Andrey Rublev leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Cortina in 2016 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. On hard courts Rublev leads 3–0. Rublev has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 13 sets to Sonego's 6. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 4, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2026
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 1, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Nov 5, 2024
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 2, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 15, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 1, 2020
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Final
Aug 4, 2016
Cortina
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -2.92u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sonego's 30%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Juncheng Shang | L 57 64 67 | W 63 63 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 57 67 | L 67 57 |
| Gabriel Diallo | L 76 67 36 | W 76 46 76 67 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | L 62 67 46 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | W 76 26 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 36 | L 57 36 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 36 76 62 | L 46 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 67 63 75 | L 36 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | L 67 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 67 63 | L 76 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–52 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 47% |
| Sets won | 56% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.