Andrey Rublev vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Jannik Sinner have met 10 times since 2021; Jannik Sinner leads 8–2. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Sinner leads 4–1. On hard courts Sinner leads 4–1. Sinner has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 6 sets to Sinner's 20. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 91% | 42/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 11% | 5/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 89% | 42/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 100% | 44/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 95% | 42/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 0, Sinner 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrey Rublev.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
May 14, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 2, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Aug 17, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 10, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 23, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 28, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 28, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
May 29, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 14, 2022
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 23, 2021
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | - |
| ROI % | -12.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rublev's 40%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | W 75 62 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | W 62 57 64 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 67 76 61 | W |
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 76 76 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | W 61 63 76 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 76 67 63 | W 62 63 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 46 63 67 62 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | L 67 62 36 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | W 62 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 76 26 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–61 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 95% |
| Sets won | 58% | 89% |
| Games won | 53% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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