Andrey Rublev vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAndrey Rublev
#24 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
10 meetings ยท sets 6โ20

๐ฎ๐นJannik Sinner
#1 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
7wAndrey Rublev and Jannik Sinner have met 10 times since 2021; Jannik Sinner leads 8โ2. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Sinner leads 4โ1. On hard courts Sinner leads 4โ1. Sinner has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 6 sets to Sinner's 20. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 13% | 7/53 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 87% | 46/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 100% | 50/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 92% | 46/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 0, Sinner 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
๐ค Servebot
Sinner
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
May 14, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 2, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 4th Round
Aug 17, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 10, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 23, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 28, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Mar 28, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 4th Round
May 29, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Apr 14, 2022
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Apr 23, 2021
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Jannik Sinner | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ5 | 7โ0 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.08 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 3 | โ |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rublev's 40%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 76 76 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | W 61 63 76 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 76 67 63 | W 62 63 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 46 63 67 62 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | L 67 62 36 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | W 62 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 76 26 | W 62 75 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 63 | W 61 67 63 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 | W 76 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 46 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 52โ72 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 94% |
| Sets won | 56% | 87% |
| Games won | 52% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 3 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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