Alex de Minaur and Andrey Rublev have met 8 times since 2018; they are level 4–4. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Doha (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 582 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
8 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2025
Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 16, 2024
Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 3, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 15, 2023
Rotterdam
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 13, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 32
Nov 8, 2018
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 4, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Andrey Rublev | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 18% | 3/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -1.33u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Minaur and Rublev posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Minaur | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 60 | W 75 62 63 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 76 63 | L 76 67 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | L 36 67 64 62 36 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 62 | W 75 76 76 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 64 62 | W 61 16 63 76 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | W 64 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | L 36 67 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 26 46 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | W 64 62 63 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 36 46 | W 36 62 62 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Hubert Hurkacz
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Nuno Borges
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Ignacio Buse
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 11
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 61% |
| Sets won | 65% | 58% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 3 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
