Alex de Minaur vs Arthur FilsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Arthur Fils have met 4 times since 2024; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2024 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 5 sets to Fils's 5. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Fils won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Fils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Arthur Fils | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 67% | 20/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 0% | 0/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 27% | 10/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 100% | 25/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 80% | 20/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Fils 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Fils
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 10, 2026
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 8, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Apr 18, 2024
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Fils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Arthur Fils | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 9–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +17.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +1.94u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 9 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fils has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Minaur's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 75 | W 63 16 60 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 57 67 36 | W 63 64 |
| Quentin Halys | W 16 63 76 | W 61 76 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 75 67 16 | W 62 76 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 62 57 62 64 | W 64 36 61 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 62 63 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 64 36 63 | W 60 61 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 16 | L 67 36 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 61 76 | L 46 57 63 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 57 63 36 | W 75 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Alex de Minaur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Yannick Hanfmann
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 78% |
| Sets won | 62% | 70% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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