Alex de Minaur vs Arthur FilsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Arthur Fils have met 4 times since 2024; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2024 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 5 sets to Fils's 5. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Fils won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Fils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Arthur Fils | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 66% | 23/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 100% | 29/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 79% | 23/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Fils 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Fils
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Arthur Fils.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 10, 2026
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 8, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Apr 18, 2024
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Fils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Arthur Fils | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 14–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.35 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | +1.89u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fils's 70%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | W 16 62 63 | W 62 76 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 46 63 36 | L 57 64 46 |
| Quentin Halys | W 36 76 75 | W 61 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 75 | W 63 75 |
| Mariano Navone | W 76 62 | W 63 62 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 63 63 | W 62 36 61 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | W 26 61 61 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 26 76 119 | L 26 36 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 64 36 63 | L 64 67 16 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 57 67 36 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Luca Van Assche
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Martin Damm
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 77% |
| Sets won | 63% | 68% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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