Alex de Minaur and Daniil Medvedev have met 12 times since 2018; Daniil Medvedev leads 8–4. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 582 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
12 career meetings, newest first
Oct 10, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 10, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Nov 12, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 2, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Sep 30, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 4, 2023
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 11, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 2, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 4, 2022
ATP Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 5, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 10, 2018
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 13, 2018
Sydney
H Hard · Finals
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -10.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -1.36u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Medvedev's 40%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 57 36 | W 62 76 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 67 63 64 20 | L 46 76 46 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | L 67 16 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | L 36 57 76 60 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | W 63 76 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | L 06 64 57 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 26 75 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 61 76 | L 06 06 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 26 62 | W 63 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 57 26 16 | W 63 76 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Terence Atmane
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 16
Jun 17
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Marin Cilic
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Thijs Boogaard
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 9
Adam Walton
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 70% |
| Sets won | 65% | 65% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 8 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
