Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian MarozsanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan have met 4 times since 2024; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–0. Medvedev has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 10 sets to Marozsan's 3. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Marozsan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Fabian Marozsan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 43% | 18/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 71% | 15/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Marozsan 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Marozsan
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Fabian Marozsan.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 23, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 17, 2025
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 29, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Marozsan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Fabian Marozsan | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -24.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -2.90u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 103 mi · 165 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Medvedev and Marozsan posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | W 75 64 | L 26 46 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | L 63 36 46 |
| James Duckworth | W 67 63 62 | L 76 26 46 |
| Martin Damm | L 57 36 | W 26 63 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 67 16 | W 76 61 |
| Daniel Merida | W 36 63 75 62 | L 76 36 16 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | W 75 63 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | W 62 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 62 76 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 16 | W 63 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Zachary Svajda
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Alex Bolt
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Louis Van Herck
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, LUX-HUN 0-4 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Michael Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 47% |
| Sets won | 66% | 49% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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