Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian MarozsanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan have met 4 times since 2024; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–0. Medvedev has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 10 sets to Marozsan's 3. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Marozsan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Fabian Marozsan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 45% | 20/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Marozsan 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Marozsan
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Fabian Marozsan.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 23, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 17, 2025
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 29, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Marozsan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Fabian Marozsan | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | +8.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | +1.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marozsan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Medvedev's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| James Duckworth | W 67 63 62 | L 76 26 46 |
| Martin Damm | L 57 36 | W 26 63 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 67 16 | W 76 61 |
| Daniel Merida | W 36 63 75 62 | L 76 36 16 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | L 36 06 36 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | W 75 63 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | W 62 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 62 76 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 16 | W 63 64 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 16 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Shintaro Mochizuki
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 48% |
| Sets won | 65% | 51% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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