Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard StruffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev
#6 · 30 yrs · R
Title14 meetings · sets 24–12

🇩🇪Jan-Lennard Struff
#59 · 36 yrs · R
Daniil Medvedev and Jan-Lennard Struff have met 14 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 11–3. Their first meeting came at Hamburg in 2016 on clay. On hard courts Medvedev leads 8–1. On grass courts they are level 2–2. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 24 sets to Struff's 12. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 8 of 11 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 6, Struff 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
14 career meetings, newest first
Oct 10, 2026
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 3, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 3, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Feb 25, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 14, 2025
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 6, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Dec 4, 2021
Davis Cup, Finals, SF, RUS-GER 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jun 29, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 15, 2021
Noventi Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Aug 10, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 15, 2017
Marseille
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 8, 2016
Mons
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 28, 2016
Orleans
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 7, 2016
Hamburg
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.86 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -16.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Struff's 40%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | W 64 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 63 | L 75 57 64 26 36 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 64 62 | L 46 67 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | W 61 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 67 16 | W 46 76 76 67 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | L 36 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | L 36 61 16 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 62 64 | L 16 63 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 57 67 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | W 61 76 46 26 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Daniil Medvedev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Martin Landaluce
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Thiago Agustin Tirante
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 50% |
| Sets won | 66% | 51% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 3 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 8 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 2 |
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