Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard StruffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Jan-Lennard Struff have met 12 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 9–3. Their first meeting came at Hamburg in 2016 on clay. On hard courts Medvedev leads 6–1. On grass courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 20 sets to Struff's 11. Their most recent meeting: Jan-Lennard Struff won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 47% | 22/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 7 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 5, Struff 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
12 career meetings, newest first
Jul 3, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Feb 25, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 14, 2025
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 6, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Dec 4, 2021
Davis Cup, Finals, SF, RUS-GER 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jun 29, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 15, 2021
Noventi Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Aug 10, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 15, 2017
Marseille
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 8, 2016
Mons
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 28, 2016
Orleans
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 7, 2016
Hamburg
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 15% | 2/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | +31.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | +4.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Struff's 30%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 67 16 | W 46 76 76 67 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | L 36 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | L 36 61 16 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 62 64 | L 16 63 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 57 67 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | W 61 76 46 26 75 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | L 46 57 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | W 63 16 75 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 67 67 |
| James Duckworth | W 67 63 62 | L 76 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 6
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 48% |
| Sets won | 65% | 48% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

