Alex de Minaur vs Botic van de ZandschulpPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Botic van de Zandschulp have met 4 times since 2022; Alex de Minaur leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Finals, QF, AUS-NED 2-0 in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 4–0. Minaur has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 9 sets to Zandschulp's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | van de Zandschulp | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Botic van de Zandschulp | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 31% | 16/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 74% | 20/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, van de Zandschulp 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 13, 2026
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 22, 2022
Davis Cup, Finals, QF, AUS-NED 2-0
H Hard · Rubber 2
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Zandschulp | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Botic van de Zandschulp | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +7.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +1.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Minaur and Zandschulp posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Minaur | Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | L 67 46 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | W 61 60 |
| Quentin Halys | W 16 63 76 | L 16 02 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | L 46 57 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 46 64 | W 36 76 75 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 | W 63 76 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 63 46 76 76 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 64 36 63 | W 64 76 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | L 67 36 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 61 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Joao Fonseca
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daniil Medvedev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 48% |
| Sets won | 62% | 51% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
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