Alex de Minaur vs Botic van de ZandschulpPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Botic van de Zandschulp have met 5 times since 2022; Alex de Minaur leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Finals, QF, AUS-NED 2-0 in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 4–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 9 sets to Zandschulp's 5. Their most recent meeting: Botic van de Zandschulp won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | van de Zandschulp | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Botic van de Zandschulp | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 35% | 19/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, van de Zandschulp 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 13, 2026
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 22, 2022
Davis Cup, Finals, QF, AUS-NED 2-0
H Hard · Rubber 2
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Zandschulp | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Botic van de Zandschulp | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 57% | 12/21 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | +30.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | +6.70u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Zandschulp's 30%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | L | L 36 46 67 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W | W 36 76 75 |
| Quentin Halys | W 36 76 75 | L |
| Mariano Navone | W 76 62 | L 75 67 57 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | L 75 46 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 26 76 119 | L 26 57 16 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | L 67 46 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | W 61 60 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | L 46 57 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 63 46 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Alex Michelsen
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Valentin Royer
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 55% |
| Sets won | 63% | 55% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
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