Luciano Darderi vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luciano Darderi and Tommy Paul have met 3 times since 2024; Tommy Paul leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Paris in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Darderi has taken 2 sets to Paul's 5. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Darderi | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luciano Darderi | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 21/35 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 23/60 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 9/21 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Darderi 0, Paul 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Luciano Darderi and Tommy Paul are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 10, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 7, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 28, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Darderi | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luciano Darderi | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Darderi | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -0.4% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Darderi | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Darderi's 30%).
| Opponent | Darderi | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 16 06 | W 76 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 16 76 60 | W 46 76 64 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 64 67 63 | W 36 63 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 46 26 | W 46 63 75 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 67 75 16 | W 64 67 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 64 | W 62 75 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 63 510 | W 67 76 76 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 67 57 26 | W 61 63 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 26 36 | L 76 46 36 |
| Casper Ruud | L 16 16 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Mattia Bellucci
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Jaime Faria
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–67 matches
| Metric | Darderi | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 69% |
| Sets won | 55% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Darderi | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Darderi | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.