Luciano Darderi vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luciano Darderi and Tommy Paul have met 3 times since 2024; Tommy Paul leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Paris in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Darderi has taken 2 sets to Paul's 5. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Darderi | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luciano Darderi | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 22/53 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 12/28 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 16/27 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Darderi 0, Paul 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Luciano Darderi and Tommy Paul are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 10, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 7, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 28, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Darderi | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luciano Darderi | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 15/19 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Darderi | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | +2.8% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.55u | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Darderi | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Darderi's 40%).
| Opponent | Darderi | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 64 67 63 | W 62 62 |
| Casper Ruud | W 76 63 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 16 75 63 | L 16 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 26 67 | W 46 76 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 16 06 | W 76 63 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 46 26 | W 46 63 75 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 67 75 16 | W 64 67 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 64 | W 62 75 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 63 510 | W 67 76 76 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 67 57 26 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Casper Ruud
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–64 matches
| Metric | Darderi | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 69% |
| Sets won | 54% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Darderi | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Darderi | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.