Jack Draper vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jack Draper and Tommy Paul have met 6 times since 2023; Jack Draper leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Draper leads 3–1. Across all meetings Draper has taken 10 sets to Paul's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jack Draper won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Draper | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jack Draper | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 4/14 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Draper 4, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Draper
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jack Draper and Tommy Paul are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 30, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Jun 21, 2024
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 26, 2024
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 18, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 11, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 11, 2023
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Draper | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jack Draper | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Draper | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.37 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -34.5% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.07u | +1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Draper | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Draper's 33%).
| Opponent | Draper | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Ugo Humbert | L 57 36 | W 63 63 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 61 75 | L 76 46 36 |
| Reilly Opelka | L 67 67 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · Quarterfinals
Mar 12
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–50 matches
| Metric | Draper | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 70% |
| Sets won | 56% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Draper | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Draper | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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