Jack Draper vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jack Draper and Lorenzo Musetti have met 4 times since 2022; Jack Draper leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Draper leads 3–0. Draper has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Draper has taken 9 sets to Musetti's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jack Draper won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Draper | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jack Draper | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 4/14 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Draper 3, Musetti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Draper
💥 Big Hitter
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 2, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 26, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 8, 2023
Sofia Open - Sofia
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 10, 2022
Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Draper | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jack Draper | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Draper | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.37 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -34.5% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.07u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Draper | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Draper and Musetti posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Draper | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 57 | W 75 62 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 61 75 | W 76 64 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 46 64 76 | L 64 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · Quarterfinals
Mar 12
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–52 matches
| Metric | Draper | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 65% |
| Sets won | 56% | 62% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Draper | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Draper | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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