Alex de Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti have met 5 times since 2022; Lorenzo Musetti leads 4–1. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Nitto ATP Finals (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 469 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 11, 2025
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 30, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 12, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Jun 18, 2024
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Round of 32
Jan 5, 2022
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/10 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -14.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -1.48u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Musetti's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 60 | W 63 63 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | L 75 46 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | W 75 76 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | W 76 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 67 64 | L 36 36 |
| Arthur Fils | W 76 62 | L 36 46 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 36 46 | W 64 63 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 46 63 36 | L 67 57 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 26 62 | L 63 26 36 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Corentin Moutet
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 64% |
| Sets won | 65% | 61% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
