Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Musetti have met 4 times since 2024; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Paris in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 3 sets to Musetti's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 21/60 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 25/48 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 19/28 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 27/42 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 1, Musetti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 25, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
May 14, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 25, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 1, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 12/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -5.0% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Musetti's 60%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 | L 67 57 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 75 63 | W 64 62 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 61 63 | L 46 36 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 76 26 46 | W 64 75 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 76 67 36 46 | L 16 46 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 62 | W 62 75 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 75 36 76 | L 36 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 76 | W 76 75 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 46 64 67 61 | W 63 62 20 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 62 62 | W 57 64 62 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Cameron Norrie
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 7
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–81 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 65% |
| Sets won | 67% | 62% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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