Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Musetti have met 4 times since 2024; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Paris in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 3 sets to Musetti's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 30/44 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 22/61 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 29/52 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 23/33 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 39/46 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 30/46 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 1, Musetti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
💥 Big Hitter
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Musetti are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 25, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
May 14, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 25, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 1, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–4 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.35u | -3.16u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Zverev and Musetti posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | L 64 46 46 | L |
| Alex de Minaur | L 62 67 911 | W 75 36 75 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 64 36 67 75 64 | W 63 63 64 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 62 64 | W 63 63 75 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 | L 67 57 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 75 63 | W 64 62 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 61 63 | L 46 36 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 76 26 46 | W 64 75 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 64 64 | W |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 62 | W 62 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Cameron Norrie
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Alex de Minaur
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–88 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 60% |
| Sets won | 72% | 59% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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