Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Novak Djokovic have met 11 times since 2021; Novak Djokovic leads 10–1. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Djokovic leads 4–1. On hard courts Djokovic leads 5–0. Djokovic has won the last 7 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Djokovic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 7 sets to Djokovic's 22. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/38 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 0, Djokovic 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
11 career meetings, newest first
Jan 28, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 8, 2025
Hellenic Championship - Athens
H Hard · Final
Mar 25, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 2, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 12, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Jun 1, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 11, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 13, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Nov 4, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 21, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 6, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -28.7% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.16u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Musetti and Djokovic posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Musetti | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | L 46 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 36 75 | W |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 57 | W 46 64 64 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 64 | W 57 75 61 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 16 | L 62 26 36 57 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 75 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–43 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 71% |
| Sets won | 59% | 63% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 4 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 3 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 5 |
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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