Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Novak Djokovic have met 10 times since 2021; Novak Djokovic leads 9–1. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Djokovic leads 4–1. On hard courts Djokovic leads 4–0. Djokovic has won the last 6 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Djokovic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 7 sets to Djokovic's 22. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Hellenic Championship - Athens (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 0, Djokovic 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Nov 8, 2025
Hellenic Championship - Athens
H Hard · Final
Mar 25, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 2, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 12, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Jun 1, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 11, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 13, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Nov 4, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 21, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 6, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Musetti's 50%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 26 | L 46 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 46 26 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 64 | W 57 75 61 64 |
| Dino Prizmic | W 75 36 62 | L 62 26 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 57 | L 36 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 16 | L 62 26 36 57 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 62 75 64 | W 63 75 36 64 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 75 | W 63 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 62 67 | W 76 61 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 60 61 | W 63 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–51 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 74% |
| Sets won | 61% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 3 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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