Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic have met 10 times since 2022; they are level 5–5. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Djokovic leads 3–2. On clay courts Djokovic leads 2–1. On grass courts Alcaraz leads 2–0. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. 5 of their meetings have been finals, with Alcaraz leading those 3–2. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 17 sets to Djokovic's 16. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 0, Djokovic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Feb 1, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Final
Sep 5, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 21, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 4, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · Final
Jul 14, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Final
Nov 18, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 20, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Final
Jul 16, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Final
Jun 9, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Semifinals
May 7, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.71 |
| ROI % | - | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Djokovic's 70%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 46 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | W 75 64 16 76 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 64 64 | L 64 64 36 57 57 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 75 | W 63 62 67 63 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | W 63 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 61 | W 46 63 75 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 67 75 63 | W 63 75 36 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 63 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 74% |
| Sets won | 80% | 65% |
| Games won | 59% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 3 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 4 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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