Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz
#3 · 23 yrs · R
7Title10 meetings · sets 17–16
🇷🇸Novak Djokovic
#8 · 39 yrs · R
TitleCarlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic have met 10 times since 2022; they are level 5–5. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Djokovic leads 3–2. On clay courts Djokovic leads 2–1. On grass courts Alcaraz leads 2–0. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. 5 of their meetings have been finals, with Alcaraz leading those 3–2. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 17 sets to Djokovic's 16. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 0, Djokovic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Feb 1, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Final
Sep 5, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 21, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 4, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · Final
Jul 14, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Final
Nov 18, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 20, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Final
Jul 16, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Final
Jun 9, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Semifinals
May 7, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Alcaraz and Djokovic posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 61 | W |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | W |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | W 46 64 64 |
| Yibing Wu | W 63 64 61 | W 64 57 64 64 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 64 64 64 | W 76 63 36 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 46 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | W 75 64 16 76 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 64 64 | L 64 64 36 57 57 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 75 | W 63 62 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 71% |
| Sets won | 78% | 63% |
| Games won | 59% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 3 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 4 | 2 |
| ATP Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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