Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard
#104 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
46 meetings ยท sets 5โ12

๐ฎ๐นLorenzo Musetti
#14 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Lorenzo Musetti have met 6 times since 2024; Lorenzo Musetti leads 5โ1. Their first meeting came at Boss Open - Stuttgart in 2024 on grass. On hard courts Musetti leads 2โ1. On grass courts Musetti leads 2โ0. Across all meetings Perricard has taken 5 sets to Musetti's 12. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mpetshi Perricard | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 9/19 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 19/40 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 7/22 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 21/38 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 9/17 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mpetshi Perricard 1, Musetti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Perricard
๐ค Servebot
Musetti
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฏ Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Oct 17, 2025
European Open - Brussels
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 26, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 26, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jul 8, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 4th Round
Jun 11, 2024
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Perricard | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Perricard | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ5 | 5โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -40.2% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.62u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Perricard | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 737 mi ยท 1,186 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Perricard's 20%).
| Opponent | Perricard | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 60 63 | W 63 57 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 76 67 26 36 | W 76 75 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 76 46 67 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 67 67 | L 67 36 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 75 57 16 46 | L 64 36 57 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 67 67 | L 36 36 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 46 46 | W 64 75 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 46 46 | L 46 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 75 | W 62 75 64 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 76 67 46 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 23
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Corentin Moutet
HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Aleksandar Kovacevic
HSBC Championships ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Johannus Monday
HSBC Championships ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Alexander Bublik
Boss Open - Stuttgart ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Gauthier Onclin
Boss Open - Stuttgart ยท 2nd Round
Jun 10
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 43โ51 matches
| Metric | Perricard | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 65% |
| Sets won | 46% | 61% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Perricard | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Perricard | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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