Frances Tiafoe vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Lorenzo Musetti have met 8 times since 2020; they are level 4–4. Their first meeting came at Forli Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 3–1. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 12 sets to Musetti's 11. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 2, Musetti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Frances Tiafoe and Lorenzo Musetti are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Aug 22, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 3, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 14, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 16, 2023
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · Quarterfinals
May 16, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 17, 2021
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 7, 2020
Parma Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 23, 2020
Forli Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | +4.21u | -3.16u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Tiafoe and Musetti posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 64 | W 76 75 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 57 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 62 64 | L 67 57 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 67 76 61 62 | W 75 62 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 64 | W 63 63 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 61 63 | W 64 62 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 62 62 | W 63 57 63 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 67 76 63 67 46 | W |
| Alexander Bublik | L 64 67 67 64 36 | L 67 36 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | W 62 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–63 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 60% |
| Sets won | 63% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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