Flavio Cobolli vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Flavio Cobolli and Frances Tiafoe have met 5 times since 2024; Frances Tiafoe leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 3–1. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cobolli leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cobolli has taken 2 sets to Tiafoe's 8. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cobolli | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Flavio Cobolli | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 15/28 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 4/22 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 17/50 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 12/23 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cobolli 1, Tiafoe 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
🤖 Servebot
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 15, 2026
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 8, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 28, 2026
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Final
Jul 24, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 16, 2024
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cobolli | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Flavio Cobolli | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -0.6% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Cobolli's 40%).
| Opponent | Cobolli | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 67 | W 64 64 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 36 57 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 62 710 | W 64 46 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 26 57 | L 64 36 36 57 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 57 64 | W 76 64 76 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 36 26 63 64 64 | W 64 63 46 62 |
| Tommy Paul | W 26 63 64 | L 57 64 67 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 46 64 64 64 | W 63 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 62 36 57 | W 63 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 76 67 57 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Francisco Comesana
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–65 matches
| Metric | Cobolli | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 71% |
| Sets won | 55% | 63% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cobolli | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cobolli | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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