Flavio Cobolli vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Flavio Cobolli and Frances Tiafoe have met 5 times since 2024; Frances Tiafoe leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 3–1. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cobolli leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cobolli has taken 2 sets to Tiafoe's 8. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cobolli | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Flavio Cobolli | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 16/28 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 9% | 2/22 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 24/26 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cobolli 1, Tiafoe 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
💥 Big Hitter
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Flavio Cobolli and Frances Tiafoe are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 15, 2026
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 8, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 28, 2026
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Final
Jul 24, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 16, 2024
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cobolli | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Flavio Cobolli | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 60% | 12/20 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | +36.9% | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.17u | +6.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Cobolli and Tiafoe posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Cobolli | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 36 61 06 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 26 02 | W 76 75 |
| Learner Tien | W 62 62 63 | W 64 46 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 62 36 57 | W 63 64 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 67 | L 76 26 16 |
| Terence Atmane | W 76 63 | L 64 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 76 63 | L 36 46 57 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 46 64 64 64 | W 36 63 76 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 75 | W 64 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 64 46 76 16 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–63 matches
| Metric | Cobolli | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 66% |
| Sets won | 54% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cobolli | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cobolli | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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