Carlos Alcaraz vs Jack DraperPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Jack Draper have met 5 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 2–1. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 7 sets to Draper's 5. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Jack Draper | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 2, Draper 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Draper
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 14, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 15, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 19, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 20, 2024
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Oct 24, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.37 |
| ROI % | - | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Draper's 50%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | L 16 57 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 26 62 63 75 | W 46 64 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | L 57 76 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 62 61 | W 61 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · Quarterfinals
Mar 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 57% |
| Sets won | 80% | 56% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.