Carlos Alcaraz vs Jack DraperPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Jack Draper have met 5 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 2–1. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 7 sets to Draper's 5. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Jack Draper | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 2, Draper 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Draper
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jack Draper.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 14, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 15, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 19, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 20, 2024
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Oct 24, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Draper's 25%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | L |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | L 16 57 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 26 62 63 75 | W 46 64 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | L 57 76 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 57% |
| Sets won | 78% | 56% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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