Brandon Nakashima vs Jack DraperPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Jack Draper have met 4 times since 2022; Jack Draper leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan in 2022 on hard. On grass courts Draper leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Draper has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 5 sets to Draper's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jack Draper won at cinch Championships - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Jack Draper | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 15/29 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Draper 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Draper
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 20, 2025
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jun 15, 2024
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · Semifinals
Nov 4, 2023
Bergamo Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2022
Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Draper's 56%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 26 | L 57 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | L 16 57 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 57 75 | L 57 76 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | W 63 76 75 | W 75 64 |
| Marcos Giron | L 67 16 | W 64 76 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 76 36 46 | W 61 75 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 62 75 62 | W 36 63 62 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–60 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 57% |
| Sets won | 59% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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