Brandon Nakashima vs Jack DraperPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Jack Draper have met 4 times since 2022; Jack Draper leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan in 2022 on hard. On grass courts Draper leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Draper has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 5 sets to Draper's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jack Draper won at cinch Championships - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Jack Draper | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Draper 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Draper
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 20, 2025
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jun 15, 2024
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · Semifinals
Nov 4, 2023
Bergamo Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2022
Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Draper | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Jack Draper | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.37 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 13 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Nakashima and Draper posted a 71% win rate.
| Opponent | Nakashima | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | L 16 57 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 57 75 | L 57 76 46 |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | W 63 76 75 | W 75 64 |
| Marcos Giron | L 67 16 | W 64 76 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 76 36 46 | W 61 75 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 62 75 62 | W 36 63 62 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · Quarterfinals
Mar 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 59% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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