Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hubert Hurkacz and Tommy Paul have met 6 times since 2021; Tommy Paul leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 2–1. On clay courts Paul leads 2–0. Across all meetings Hurkacz has taken 8 sets to Paul's 9. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hurkacz | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hubert Hurkacz | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 12/19 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 15/34 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 9/24 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 12/22 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hurkacz 1, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 3, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
May 15, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 16, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 13, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Nov 3, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hurkacz | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hubert Hurkacz | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +11.4% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.71u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Hurkacz's 50%).
| Opponent | Hurkacz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | W 63 64 | W 46 76 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 63 67 57 | W 76 63 |
| Casper Ruud | W 64 62 76 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 63 36 57 | W 62 75 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 62 76 | W 75 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 76 67 46 76 46 | W 75 46 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 64 46 | W 26 63 63 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 26 46 | W 61 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 76 57 61 | L 63 36 26 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 46 76 63 | W 61 36 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alejandro Tabilo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–50 matches
| Metric | Hurkacz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 70% |
| Sets won | 57% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hurkacz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hurkacz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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