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Head-to-Head

Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Hubert Hurkacz

🇵🇱Hubert Hurkacz

#34 · 29 yrs · R

3
2–4

6 meetings · sets 8–9

Tommy Paul

🇺🇸Tommy Paul

#18 · 29 yrs · R

Hubert Hurkacz and Tommy Paul have met 6 times since 2021; Tommy Paul leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 2–1. On clay courts Paul leads 2–0. Across all meetings Hurkacz has taken 8 sets to Paul's 9. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorHurkaczPaul
Wins in straight sets59%57%
Wins a set when losing50%57%
Goes to a deciding set44%48%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite38%38%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog85%100%
Tiebreak sets won55%62%
Wins after taking set 179%79%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 159%61%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hurkacz 1, Paul 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Hurkacz

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Paul

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

6 career meetings, newest first

Aug 16, 2026

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 2nd Round

46
763
36
Paul

Jul 3, 2026

Wimbledon - London

G Grass · 3rd Round

46
765
75
62
Hurkacz

May 15, 2025

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

C Clay · Quarterfinals

647
36
Paul

May 16, 2024

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

C Clay · Quarterfinals

57
63
36
Paul

Mar 13, 2023

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 3rd Round

64
26
46
Paul

Nov 3, 2021

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

H Hard · 2nd Round

75
764
Hurkacz

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeHurkaczPaul
1 or more100%100%
3 or more100%92%
5 or more100%75%
10 or more83%17%
15 or more26%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricHurkaczPaul
W-L18–58–5
Avg odds1.661.81
ROI %+21.1%+1.3%
Units P/L+4.85u+0.17u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricHurkaczPaul
Countries12
Events32
Matches122
Distance1,611 mi · 2,592 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteCHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Hurkacz's 50%).

OpponentHurkaczPaul
Alex de Minaur
L
W
26
63
63
Learner Tien
W
57
63
64
L
36
26
Alejandro Tabilo
W
64
76
L
16
26
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
L
46
67
W
63
76
Alexander Bublik
L
76
67
57
W
64
36
67
61
63
Alexander Zverev
W
63
64
W
46
76
64
Botic van de Zandschulp
L
63
67
57
W
76
63
Casper Ruud
W
64
62
76
L
64
76
46
67
57
Daniel Altmaier
L
63
36
57
W
62
75
Zachary Svajda
W
62
76
W
75
63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Hurkacz
WWWLWWWL
W

Yi Zhou

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

62
36
63

Oct 11

W

Novak Djokovic

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

64
63

Oct 9

W

James Duckworth

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

63
764

Oct 8

L

Alex de Minaur

China Open - Beijing · Semifinals

Oct 5

W

Karen Khachanov

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

762
62

Oct 4

W

Arthur Gea

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

765
657
62

Oct 2

W

Learner Tien

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

57
63
64

Oct 1

L

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final

46
677

Sep 29

Paul
WLLWWWLW
W

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

62
62

Oct 10

L

Alejandro Tabilo

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

16
26

Sep 30

L

Carlos Alcaraz

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

46
36
46

Sep 6

W

Alexander Bublik

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

64
36
647
61
63

Sep 4

W

Dino Prizmic

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

62
63
57
64

Sep 3

W

Chak Pong Marco Lam

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

637
61
63
63

Aug 30

L

Flavio Cobolli

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

62
36
46

Aug 20

W

Alexander Zverev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
766
64

Aug 19

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ HurkaczPaul ahead↓ Paul

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–58 matches

MetricHurkaczPaul
Matches won64%69%
Sets won60%64%
Games won53%54%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageHurkaczPaul
Grand Slam10
ATP Masters 100014

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceHurkaczPaul
Hard12
Clay02
Grass10

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Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul FAQ

Tommy Paul leads the head-to-head 4–2 over 6 meetings.