Andrea Pellegrino vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Pellegrino and Luciano Darderi have met 4 times since 2024; Luciano Darderi leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Perugia Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Darderi leads 4–0. Darderi has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Darderi leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 2 sets to Darderi's 8. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at Bundesliga - men (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 27/53 | 42% | 22/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 15/24 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 0, Darderi 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 10, 2026
Bundesliga - men
C Clay
Feb 27, 2026
BCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 7, 2025
Genova Challenger
C Clay · Final
Jun 13, 2024
Perugia Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 79% | 15/19 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | +2.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.74u | +0.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Darderi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Pellegrino's 20%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 64 16 26 | L 36 67 |
| Dane Sweeny | L 26 64 36 | W 64 63 63 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 76 57 510 | W 63 67 64 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 67 76 36 | L 46 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 46 | L 36 63 510 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 76 67 63 | L 67 64 46 62 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 64 57 | W 63 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 36 | L 16 36 67 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 63 26 62 | L 36 76 46 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 46 36 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Mika Petkovic
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Casper Ruud
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–64 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 56% |
| Sets won | 53% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 4 |
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