Andrea Pellegrino vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นAndrea Pellegrino
#129 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
4 meetings ยท sets 2โ8

๐ฎ๐นLuciano Darderi
#22 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
Andrea Pellegrino and Luciano Darderi have met 4 times since 2024; Luciano Darderi leads 4โ0. Their first meeting came at Perugia Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Darderi leads 4โ0. Darderi has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Darderi leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 2 sets to Darderi's 8. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at Bundesliga - men (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/56 | 38% | 23/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 66% | 21/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 0, Darderi 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
๐น Frontrunner
Darderi
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 10, 2026
Bundesliga - men
C Clay
Feb 27, 2026
BCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 7, 2025
Genova Challenger
C Clay ยท Final
Jun 13, 2024
Perugia Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ6 | 9โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | +11.5% | -0.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | -0.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Darderi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Pellegrino's 33%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Monteiro | L 36 26 | W 75 62 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 67 76 36 | L 46 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 46 | L 36 63 510 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 76 67 63 | L 67 64 46 62 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 64 57 | W 63 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 36 | L 16 36 67 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 63 26 62 | L 36 76 46 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 46 36 | W 61 63 |
| Mateusz Lange | W 60 75 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Luciano Darderi
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Raul Brancaccio
Trieste Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Mattia Bellucci
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Semifinals
Jul 25
Jaime Faria
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 58โ67 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 58% |
| Sets won | 55% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 4 |
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