Andrea Pellegrino vs Vilius GaubasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Pellegrino and Vilius Gaubas have met 4 times since 2024; Vilius Gaubas leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Rome Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Gaubas leads 3–1. Gaubas has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 3 sets to Gaubas's 6. Their most recent meeting: Vilius Gaubas won at Rio Open presented by Claro (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Gaubas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Vilius Gaubas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 47% | 18/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/56 | 45% | 29/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 41% | 13/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 81% | 29/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 50% | 18/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 1, Gaubas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Gaubas
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 279 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 14, 2026
Rio Open presented by Claro
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 24, 2025
Rome Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 3, 2024
Braga Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 23, 2024
Rome Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Gaubas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Vilius Gaubas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | +11.5% | -25.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | -3.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 562 mi · 905 km |
| Route | CAN | SMR → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaubas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Pellegrino's 30%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Monteiro | L 36 26 | W 76 76 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 46 | L 16 36 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 64 16 26 | L 36 46 67 |
| Daniel Merida | L 36 75 36 | W 61 64 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 76 62 | W 64 67 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 64 57 | L 26 16 |
| Martin Damm | L 06 67 | W 67 63 76 |
| Stefano Travaglia | W 76 36 64 | L 67 57 |
| Alex Barrena | W 62 26 61 | L 36 16 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 46 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Luciano Darderi
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Raul Brancaccio
Trieste Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Max Houkes
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Facundo Diaz Acosta
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Luka Pavlovic
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Pablo Carreno Busta
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jesper de Jong
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–68 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 57% |
| Sets won | 55% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Gaubas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.