Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆFelix Auger-Aliassime
#5 ยท 26 yrs ยท R
7 meetings ยท sets 5โ12

๐ฎ๐นJannik Sinner
#1 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
14wFelix Auger-Aliassime and Jannik Sinner have met 7 times since 2022; Jannik Sinner leads 5โ2. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Sinner leads 4โ1. On clay courts they are level 1โ1. Sinner has won the last 5 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sinner leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Auger-Aliassime has taken 5 sets to Sinner's 12. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 91% | 42/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 3/16 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/56 | 11% | 5/47 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 89% | 42/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 66% | 23/35 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 31/33 | 100% | 44/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 95% | 42/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Auger-Aliassime 1, Sinner 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Auger-Aliassime
๐ค Servebot
Sinner
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 10, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Nov 10, 2025
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Nov 2, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard ยท Final
Sep 5, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Aug 14, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 18, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
May 5, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | - |
| ROI % | -11.2% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.12u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 3 | โ |
| Distance | 663 mi ยท 1,067 km | โ |
| Route | CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Auger-Aliassime's 50%).
| Opponent | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 36 46 | W 62 62 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 75 61 | L 63 62 57 16 16 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 | W 67 76 63 64 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 67 63 36 76 67 | W 64 64 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 36 63 | W 76 76 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 67 75 76 | W 61 62 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 64 46 46 46 | W 62 76 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 46 64 46 61 76 | W 60 62 |
| Casper Ruud | W | W 64 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 | W 62 57 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Quentin Halys
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA ยท Rubber 2
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rinky Hijikata
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 61โ68 matches
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 95% |
| Sets won | 64% | 89% |
| Games won | 54% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 3 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Auger-Aliassime | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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