Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Nuno Borges have met 4 times since 2024; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–0. Medvedev has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 10 sets to Borges's 2. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 35% | 20/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Borges 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 22, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 2, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 17, 2024
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 22, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 22/22 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 82% | 18/22 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 73% | 16/22 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 23% | 5/22 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 14% | 3/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -0.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -0.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Borges has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Medvedev's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 67 16 | L 36 76 36 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 06 64 57 | W 64 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | W 76 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 67 67 57 | W 64 75 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 67 67 46 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | L 63 67 36 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | L 36 63 36 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 62 76 | W 63 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aleksandar Kovacevic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 50% |
| Sets won | 65% | 51% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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