Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Nuno Borges have met 4 times since 2024; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–0. Medvedev has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 10 sets to Borges's 2. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 33% | 17/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 79% | 19/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Borges 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 22, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 2, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 17, 2024
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 22, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -15.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -2.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Borges's 40%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 46 64 63 | W 64 75 |
| Novak Djokovic | L | L 36 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 63 | W 64 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 75 64 | W 63 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 46 67 | L 46 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 06 36 | L 46 16 26 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 67 16 | L 36 76 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 67 67 46 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | L 63 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jiri Lehecka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 48% |
| Sets won | 66% | 50% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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