Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title6 meetings · sets 9–13
🇳🇴Casper Ruud
#24 · 27 yrs · R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Casper Ruud have met 6 times since 2019; Casper Ruud leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals in 2019 on hard. On clay courts Ruud leads 2–1. On hard courts Ruud leads 2–1. Ruud has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 9 sets to Ruud's 13. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Casper Ruud | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 20% | 9/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 89% | 24/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Ruud 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 27, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 30, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 10, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 4, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Nov 6, 2019
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Casper Ruud | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.64 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | +22.7% | +6.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.82u | +0.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ruud's 50%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | W 64 76 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 61 63 | W 63 75 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | L 46 26 67 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 64 64 | W 61 62 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 46 | L 67 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | L |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 63 60 63 | L 46 46 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | L 46 67 |
| Tommy Paul | L 36 67 | W 46 67 64 76 75 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 64 63 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–53 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 70% |
| Sets won | 63% | 64% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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