Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 · 27 yrs · R
7w6 meetings · sets 9–13
🇳🇴Casper Ruud
#20 · 27 yrs · R
3wAlejandro Davidovich Fokina and Casper Ruud have met 6 times since 2019; Casper Ruud leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals in 2019 on hard. On clay courts Ruud leads 2–1. On hard courts Ruud leads 2–1. Ruud has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 9 sets to Ruud's 13. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Casper Ruud | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 23% | 10/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 85% | 23/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Ruud 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 27, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 30, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 10, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 4, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Nov 6, 2019
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Casper Ruud | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fokina's 50%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 46 | L 67 36 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 64 64 76 | W 61 62 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 63 60 63 | L 46 46 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | L 46 67 |
| Tommy Paul | L 36 67 | W 46 67 64 76 75 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 64 63 | W 75 63 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 26 76 16 | W 61 62 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | W 63 63 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 16 | W 76 62 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 67 64 75 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals
Jun 26
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–52 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 69% |
| Sets won | 60% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.