Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander ZverevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
Title7 meetings ยท sets 4โ14

๐ฉ๐ชAlexander Zverev
#2 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Alexander Zverev have met 7 times since 2020; Alexander Zverev leads 6โ1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Zverev leads 4โ1. On clay courts Zverev leads 2โ0. Zverev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Zverev's 14. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Zverev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Alexander Zverev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 68% | 30/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 36% | 22/61 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 56% | 29/52 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 85% | 39/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 65% | 30/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Zverev 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
๐ฏ Baseliner
Zverev
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Oct 30, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Apr 27, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Sep 30, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Aug 9, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jun 8, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 17, 2020
bett1HULKS Indoors - Cologne
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Sep 6, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Zverev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Alexander Zverev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 33% | 6/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 6% | 1/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ1 | 16โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | -6.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | -1.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | 5,722 mi ยท 9,208 km |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | GBR โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fokina's 50%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 46 76 | W 63 64 |
| Quentin Halys | L 67 46 | W 64 67 63 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 61 67 46 | W 63 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 62 | W 76 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | L 36 46 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 61 75 | W 63 46 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | W 76 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | L 62 67 911 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 76 64 | W 64 36 67 75 64 |
| Tommy Paul | L 36 67 | L 64 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Cameron Norrie
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 27
Alex de Minaur
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 26
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO ยท Rubber 4
Sep 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 52โ88 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 78% |
| Sets won | 63% | 72% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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