Brandon Nakashima and Tommy Paul have met 5 times since 2019; Brandon Nakashima leads 4–1. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Vienna (2024).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,729 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
5 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -46.0% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.68u | +1.59u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Nakashima's 60%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 | L 67 64 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 63 | W 26 63 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 76 64 | W 63 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 64 67 67 | W 76 63 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 76 67 67 63 67 | W 63 62 64 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 64 | W 61 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 75 | L 63 36 26 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 62 46 | W 61 36 75 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 67 46 | W 75 46 76 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | W 62 36 76 |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Luca Van Assche
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Rinky Hijikata
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 22
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Final
May 21
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–55 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 70% |
| Sets won | 55% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
