Brandon Nakashima and Carlos Alcaraz have met 3 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3–0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Tokyo (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,547 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 5–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.20 |
| ROI % | -46.0% | -13.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.68u | -0.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Nakashima's 50%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 63 | W 75 62 61 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 75 16 67 67 | W 62 64 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 36 | W 62 61 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 26 62 63 | W 64 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 26 67 | L 36 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 63 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 75 46 | W 64 76 67 67 75 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | W 67 75 63 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 61 60 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 75 | W 62 64 60 |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Luca Van Assche
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Sebastian Baez
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open · Semifinals
Mar 14
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–56 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 89% |
| Sets won | 56% | 80% |
| Games won | 52% | 60% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
