Alex de Minaur and Tommy Paul have met 7 times since 2022; Alex de Minaur leads 5–2. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Bitpanda Hamburg Open (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 174 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
7 career meetings, newest first
May 22, 2026
Bitpanda Hamburg Open
C Clay · Semifinals
May 13, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Aug 3, 2023
Los Cabos
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 4, 2023
Acapulco
H Hard · Finals
Jun 23, 2022
Eastbourne
G Grass · Quarterfinals
May 11, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 15, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +1.59u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Paul's 70%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | W 63 76 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 60 | W 62 26 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 36 76 75 | W 76 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | L 63 36 26 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 67 63 64 20 | W 62 75 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 76 64 | L 61 57 46 57 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 75 | W 75 46 76 |
| Sebastian Korda | W 46 64 64 | L 46 36 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 63 | W 64 63 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 64 63 | W 46 63 64 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Rinky Hijikata
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 22
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Final
May 21
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 70% |
| Sets won | 65% | 65% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
