Alex de Minaur and Brandon Nakashima have met 3 times since 2021; Brandon Nakashima leads 2–1. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at HSBC Championships (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Brandon Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -46.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -3.68u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Nakashima's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | L 76 36 46 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | L 46 06 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | W 76 62 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 62 | L 75 16 67 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | W 62 75 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | W 76 64 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | L 63 36 46 |
| Arthur Fils | W 76 62 | L 26 36 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 36 46 | W 76 62 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 46 63 36 | W 26 62 63 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Luca Van Assche
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 56% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
