Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Berrettini have met 4 times since 2018; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Medvedev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 6 sets to Berrettini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Berrettini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 8, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 6, 2022
ATP Cup - Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 7, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard · Final
Mar 10, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Medvedev and Berrettini posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Medvedev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Stan Wawrinka | W 62 63 | W 67 76 76 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 64 26 46 | W 64 64 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 62 63 | W 67 75 61 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 36 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 63 36 | L 67 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 06 36 | L 75 26 36 |
| Quentin Halys | W 67 63 64 62 | W 62 64 |
| Jaume Munar | W 61 63 | W 64 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 64 | L 16 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | W 76 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 56% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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