Botic van de Zandschulp vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇳🇱Botic van de Zandschulp
#41 · 31 yrs · R
5 meetings · sets 1–11

🇮🇹Matteo Berrettini
#46 · 30 yrs · R
Botic van de Zandschulp and Matteo Berrettini have met 5 times since 2021; Matteo Berrettini leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Berrettini leads 3–0. On grass courts Berrettini leads 2–0. Berrettini has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 1 sets to Berrettini's 11. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Davis Cup, World Group, F, ITA-NED 2-0 (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/54 | 33% | 13/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 17/24 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 0, Berrettini 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 24, 2024
Davis Cup, World Group, F, ITA-NED 2-0
H Hard · Rubber 1
Sep 25, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 15, 2024
Davis Cup, Group A, Bologna
H Hard · Rubber 1
Jun 18, 2022
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Jul 1, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 12/21 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 6/21 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +30.4% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | +6.70u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zandschulp has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Berrettini's 20%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 46 76 76 | L 67 57 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 67 64 60 | W 67 61 64 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 62 60 | L 67 16 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 57 16 | L 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 75 62 | L 16 67 |
| Mariano Navone | L 75 67 57 | L 63 36 46 67 |
| Stan Wawrinka | L 62 67 57 | W 76 76 60 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 46 67 | L 36 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 62 | L 46 76 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 36 76 75 | L 64 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Michelsen
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Valentin Royer
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–65 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 58% |
| Sets won | 55% | 57% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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