Matteo Berrettini vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Berrettini and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 7 times since 2017; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Tsitsipas leads 5–0. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Tsitsipas has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Berrettini has taken 6 sets to Tsitsipas's 13. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Berrettini | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Berrettini | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/40 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Berrettini 1, Tsitsipas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Matteo Berrettini and Stefanos Tsitsipas are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 27, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 20, 2024
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 7, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Semifinals
May 13, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 4, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Aug 28, 2017
US Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Berrettini | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Berrettini | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -6.2% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -1.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tsitsipas's 40%).
| Opponent | Berrettini | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 26 | L 67 57 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 16 67 | L 46 63 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 64 | W 64 67 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | W 63 36 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 67 76 46 | W 64 64 |
| Arthur Fils | W 64 75 36 63 | L 06 16 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 57 25 | L 67 75 36 26 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 64 62 | L 62 30 |
| Learner Tien | L 75 26 36 | L 67 67 |
| Patrick Kypson | W 64 67 76 | W 36 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–48 matches
| Metric | Berrettini | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 57% |
| Sets won | 56% | 57% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Berrettini | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Berrettini | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 5 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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