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Head-to-Head

Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alex de Minaur

🇦🇺Alex de Minaur

#7 · 27 yrs · R

3–13

16 meetings · sets 9–29

Stefanos Tsitsipas

🇬🇷Stefanos Tsitsipas

#53 · 28 yrs · R

Alex de Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 16 times since 2017; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 13–3. Their first meeting came at Istanbul in 2017 on clay. On hard courts Tsitsipas leads 9–2. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 4–0. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Tsitsipas leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 9 sets to Tsitsipas's 29. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Citi Open - Washington (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicatorde MinaurTsitsipas
Wins in straight sets74%76%
Wins a set when losing43%31%
Goes to a deciding set33%27%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite47%44%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog56%58%
Tiebreak sets won70%42%
Wins after taking set 189%92%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 174%76%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 11 of 15 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Tsitsipas 10).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Minaur

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance
vs

Tsitsipas

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.

Previous meetings

16 career meetings, newest first

Jul 29, 2026

Citi Open - Washington

H Hard · 1st Round

64
36
63
Minaur

Mar 20, 2026

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 2nd Round

36
637
Tsitsipas

May 14, 2024

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

C Clay · 4th Round

16
26
Tsitsipas

Feb 29, 2024

Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco

H Hard · Quarterfinals

16
63
63
Minaur

Aug 5, 2023

Abierto de Tenis Mifel - Los Cabos

H Hard · Final

36
46
Tsitsipas

Apr 21, 2023

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

C Clay · Quarterfinals

46
26
Tsitsipas

Mar 28, 2022

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

46
36
Tsitsipas

Feb 11, 2022

ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam

H Hard · Quarterfinals

46
46
Tsitsipas

Oct 13, 2021

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 4th Round

763
637
26
Tsitsipas

Apr 22, 2021

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

C Clay · 3rd Round

57
36
Tsitsipas

Feb 3, 2021

ATP Cup - Melbourne

H Hard · Round Robin

36
57
Tsitsipas

Nov 10, 2018

Next Gen ATP Finals

H Hard · Final

42
14
3347
3347
Tsitsipas

Oct 4, 2018

Tokyo

H Hard · Round of 16

36
75
16
Tsitsipas

Aug 9, 2017

Portoroz

H Hard · Round of 32

26
36
Tsitsipas

Jun 6, 2017

Surbiton

G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying

7765
61
Minaur

May 1, 2017

Istanbul

C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying

46
26
Tsitsipas

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMinaurTsitsipas
1 or more94%100%
3 or more78%100%
5 or more50%77%
10 or more0%15%
15 or more0%8%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMinaurTsitsipas
W-L13–69–6
Avg odds1.331.87
ROI %-16.4%-8.5%
Units P/L-3.11u-1.28u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMinaurTsitsipas
Countries22
Events33
Matches65
Distance1,200 mi · 1,932 km1,024 mi · 1,648 km
RouteUSA → CAN → USACAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tsitsipas's 40%).

OpponentMinaurTsitsipas
Arthur Fils
L
36
46
L
06
16
Arthur Fery
W
75
76
W
61
76
Bu Yunchaokete
W
64
60
L
36
57
Martin Damm
W
76
75
W
64
64
Raphael Collignon
L
57
63
36
W
64
67
63
Arthur Rinderknech
W
63
36
76
W
63
36
63
Denis Shapovalov
W
64
61
L
26
63
46
Matteo Arnaldi
L
64
67
46
L
67
75
36
26
Francisco Cerundolo
W
36
64
63
L
57
46
Casper Ruud
L
36
36
L
76
67
67

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Minaur
LWWLWLWW
L

Arthur Fils

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

36
46

Aug 19

W

Arthur Fery

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

75
763

Aug 17

W

Quentin Halys

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

16
63
764

Aug 15

L

Cameron Norrie

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

75
657
16

Aug 6

W

James Duckworth

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

62
766

Aug 5

L

Brandon Nakashima

Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals

657
46

Jul 31

W

Cruz Hewitt

Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round

62
63

Jul 30

W

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

64
36
63

Jul 29

Tsitsipas
LWLWLWLW
L

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round

36
617

Aug 27

W

Jenson Brooksby

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round

64
766

Aug 25

L

Felix Auger Aliassime

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

36
57

Aug 16

W

Valentin Royer

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

764
75

Aug 14

L

Joao Fonseca

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

637
57

Aug 5

W

Martin Damm

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

64
64

Aug 4

L

Alex de Minaur

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

46
63
36

Jul 29

W

Raphael Collignon

EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final

64
637
63

Jul 19

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MinaurTsitsipas ahead↓ Tsitsipas

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–74 matches

MetricMinaurTsitsipas
Matches won64%57%
Sets won62%57%
Games won54%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMinaurTsitsipas
Finals02
ATP 50011
ATP 25001
ATP Masters 100001
ATP World Tour Masters 100003
ATP World Tour 50013
ATP World Tour 25001
ATP Cup01
Other01
ATP Challenger Tour11

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMinaurTsitsipas
Hard29
Clay04
Grass10

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Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas FAQ

Stefanos Tsitsipas leads the head-to-head 13–3 over 16 meetings.