Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Taylor Fritz have met 7 times since 2019; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Laver Cup in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Tsitsipas leads 5–1. Across all meetings Tsitsipas has taken 12 sets to Fritz's 8. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at United Cup - Australia (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 3rd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 2:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.32 or longer, Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 14 of 43 (33%). That is level with the 33% the price implied.
At 1.60 or shorter, Taylor Fritz has won 116 of 171 (68%). That is level with the 67% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Taylor Fritz meets Stefanos Tsitsipas in the third round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on October 12, playing on hard court. Fritz arrives ranked 12th and carries a 1-match winning streak after two matches in 14 days. Tsitsipas, ranked 43rd, has won his last two and played six matches over the same span, arriving in sharper rhythm.
Tsitsipas leads the head-to-head series 5-2 across seven meetings. Recent common opponents tell different stories: Fritz defeated Ben Shelton, Botic van de Zandschulp, and Fabian Marozsan while Tsitsipas lost to all three. Against Jiri Lehecka, Fritz stumbled but Tsitsipas won. Over a recent sample on hard court, both players own identical 13-7 records.
Both men depend heavily on their serve as primary weapons. Fritz has won 40% of his last five matches but maintained 60% over his last ten, suggesting some volatility in form. Tsitsipas has strung together eight wins in his last ten and has momentum from his recent run through Shanghai's draws. The match will ask Fritz to convert return chances and limit unforced errors; it will ask Tsitsipas to sustain the intensity that has carried his winning streak.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tsitsipas | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 5/17 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 13/49 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 35% | 15/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 7/13 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 12/28 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tsitsipas 3, Fritz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Stefanos Tsitsipas and Taylor Fritz are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jan 7, 2026
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 21, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 3, 2024
United Cup
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 14, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 24, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 30, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 8, 2019
Laver Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tsitsipas | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 81% | 17/21 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 5/21 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–6 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +20.3% | -11.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.88u | -1.78u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tsitsipas's 40%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 67 75 36 26 | W 75 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 64 67 46 | W 46 76 75 |
| Ben Shelton | L 26 36 46 | W 67 76 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 26 61 76 61 | L 46 76 26 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 57 46 | L 63 64 36 46 46 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 75 | W 76 57 61 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 63 36 | L 67 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 62 75 | W 76 64 64 |
| Patrick Kypson | W 36 76 76 | W 62 62 75 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 63 67 46 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Carlos Alcaraz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Mattia Bellucci
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darwin Blanch
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–61 matches
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 62% |
| Sets won | 60% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tsitsipas | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 3 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tsitsipas | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |