Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev
#6 · 30 yrs · R
Title15 meetings · sets 25–16
🇬🇷Stefanos Tsitsipas
#43 · 28 yrs · R
Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 15 times since 2018; Daniil Medvedev leads 10–5. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 8–4. On clay courts Medvedev leads 2–1. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 25 sets to Tsitsipas's 16. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 11 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 4, Tsitsipas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
15 career meetings, newest first
Feb 18, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 9, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 28, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
May 20, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 16, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 20, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 28, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 8, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 11, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 12, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Oct 20, 2018
Basel
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 30, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 22, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 79% | 15/19 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 26% | 5/19 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 16–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | +18.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +4.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Tsitsipas's 60%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | L | L 36 46 26 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 63 | L 57 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 46 63 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 75 64 | L 36 67 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 63 | W 76 75 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | W 63 36 63 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 64 62 64 | W 61 64 62 |
| Martin Damm | L 57 36 | W 64 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 61 | W 64 76 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 62% |
| Sets won | 66% | 60% |
| Games won | 56% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 1 |
| ATP Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 5 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 8 | 4 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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