Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 15 times since 2018; Daniil Medvedev leads 10–5. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 8–4. On clay courts Medvedev leads 2–1. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 25 sets to Tsitsipas's 16. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 11 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 4, Tsitsipas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
15 career meetings, newest first
Feb 18, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 9, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 28, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
May 20, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 16, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 20, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 28, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 8, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 11, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 12, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Oct 20, 2018
Basel
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 30, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 22, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -1.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Medvedev and Tsitsipas posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | L 57 36 | W 64 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 61 | W 64 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | L 46 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 64 | L 46 63 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 64 26 46 | W 63 36 63 |
| Daniel Merida | W 36 63 75 62 | W 64 62 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 06 36 | L 67 67 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 64 | L 63 67 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 06 64 57 | L 57 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 63 36 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 57% |
| Sets won | 65% | 57% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 8 | 4 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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