Alexandre Muller vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 5 times since 2024; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai in 2024 on hard. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 2–1. On hard courts Tsitsipas leads 2–0. Across all meetings Muller has taken 1 sets to Tsitsipas's 11. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Roland Garros (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/39 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 5/17 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 0, Tsitsipas 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
⚙️ Grinder
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2026
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
May 26, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 26, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 9, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 8, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.80 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -58.8% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | -1.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 5,829 mi · 9,381 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | SMR → GER → MEX | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Muller's 20%).
| Opponent | Muller | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | L 46 36 | W 64 76 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 63 36 46 | W 64 36 63 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 61 67 64 | L 67 75 36 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 46 67 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 36 67 | L 63 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Guy Den Ouden
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Stefano Napolitano
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Aleksandr Shevchenko
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–46 matches
| Metric | Muller | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 57% |
| Sets won | 37% | 57% |
| Games won | 45% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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