Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆFelix Auger-Aliassime
#4 ยท 26 yrs ยท R
8w9 meetings ยท sets 9โ16

๐ฎ๐นMatteo Berrettini
#43 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Matteo Berrettini have met 9 times since 2019; Matteo Berrettini leads 7โ2. Their first meeting came at Stuttgart in 2019 on grass. On hard courts Berrettini leads 4โ2. On grass courts Berrettini leads 2โ0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Berrettini leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Auger-Aliassime has taken 9 sets to Berrettini's 16. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Auger-Aliassime | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 26/37 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 3/15 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 14/52 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 24/44 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 20/32 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 30/32 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Auger-Aliassime 1, Berrettini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Auger-Aliassime
๐ค Servebot
Berrettini
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Felix Auger-Aliassime and Matteo Berrettini are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Jul 19, 2024
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 14, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Sep 24, 2022
Laver Cup
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Sep 24, 2022
Laver Cup - London
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Sep 24, 2021
Laver Cup - Boston
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Sep 24, 2021
Laver Cup
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Aug 19, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Jul 7, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 16, 2019
Stuttgart
G Grass ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Auger-Aliassime | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ4 | 4โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -9.3% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.12u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Berrettini's 60%).
| Opponent | Auger-Aliassime | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 76 | L 46 76 36 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 64 67 61 | W 36 61 64 |
| Mariano Navone | L 67 67 | L 36 76 36 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 67 | W 64 75 36 63 |
| Dino Prizmic | W 76 63 75 | L 36 46 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 76 | W 67 76 76 76 |
| Learner Tien | W 67 75 76 | L 75 26 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 63 64 | W 67 75 61 62 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 67 63 63 | W 76 57 67 64 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 36 46 | W 64 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Dino Prizmic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Learner Tien
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Nuno Borges
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris ยท 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 48โ66 matches
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 56% |
| Sets won | 66% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Auger-Aliassime | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Auger-Aliassime | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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