Mariano Navone vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mariano Navone and Matteo Berrettini have met 4 times since 2024; Matteo Berrettini leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Berrettini leads 3–0. Across all meetings Navone has taken 3 sets to Berrettini's 7. Their most recent meeting: Mariano Navone won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navone | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Navone | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 20/58 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navone 0, Berrettini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Berrettini.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 3, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 30, 2026
Cagliari Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 7, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 6, 2024
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navone | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mariano Navone | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navone | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -17.8% | -6.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.13u | -0.37u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navone | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Navone and Berrettini posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Navone | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 76 | W 63 64 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 26 | W 64 75 36 63 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 16 63 63 | L 67 46 |
| Quentin Halys | L 57 36 | W 62 64 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 64 60 | W 64 62 |
| Learner Tien | L 63 36 57 | L 75 26 36 |
| Casper Ruud | W 75 62 | L 67 26 |
| Jaume Munar | W 62 62 | W 64 62 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 64 64 | W 76 67 64 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 26 57 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Matteo Berrettini
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–62 matches
| Metric | Navone | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 56% |
| Sets won | 55% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navone | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navone | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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