Mariano Navone vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mariano Navone and Matteo Berrettini have met 5 times since 2024; Matteo Berrettini leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Berrettini leads 3–0. On hard courts Navone leads 2–0. Navone has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Navone has taken 6 sets to Berrettini's 8. Their most recent meeting: Mariano Navone won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navone | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Navone | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/57 | 33% | 13/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 14/21 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 23/31 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navone 0, Berrettini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Berrettini.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 3, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 3, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 30, 2026
Cagliari Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 7, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 6, 2024
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navone | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mariano Navone | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 5/14 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navone | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +25.6% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | +3.59u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navone | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Navone's 40%).
| Opponent | Navone | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 64 57 36 | W 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 67 26 | L 16 67 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 76 | W 63 64 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 26 | W 64 75 36 63 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 16 63 63 | L 67 46 |
| Quentin Halys | L 57 36 | W 62 64 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 64 60 | W 64 62 |
| Learner Tien | L 63 36 57 | L 75 26 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 64 64 | W 76 67 64 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 26 57 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Novak Djokovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–64 matches
| Metric | Navone | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 58% |
| Sets won | 55% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navone | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navone | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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