Casper Ruud vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini have met 8 times since 2019; Casper Ruud leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 3–1. On hard courts they are level 2–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Ruud leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 12 sets to Berrettini's 9. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 33% | 13/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Berrettini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2025
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 6, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 24, 2022
Swiss Open - Gstaad
C Clay · Final
May 8, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 19, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 5, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 29, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +6.5% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.65u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Berrettini's 40%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | W 64 76 | L 75 26 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | W 16 76 64 |
| Mariano Navone | L 57 26 | L 63 36 46 67 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 76 | W 76 76 60 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 64 | L 46 76 36 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 67 36 | L 36 26 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 61 62 | W 63 76 76 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 26 67 | L 64 36 46 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | L 26 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 62 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 58% |
| Sets won | 64% | 57% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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