Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
20w4 meetings ยท sets 9โ6

๐ฎ๐นMatteo Berrettini
#43 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Carlos Alcaraz and Matteo Berrettini have met 4 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Erste Bank Open - Vienna in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 9 sets to Berrettini's 6. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Wimbledon - London (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 0, Berrettini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Berrettini
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 10, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 4th Round
Feb 19, 2022
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 21, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Oct 29, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4โ3 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.85 |
| ROI % | - | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Berrettini's 50%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | L 46 76 36 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 62 63 | L 36 46 63 75 36 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 61 | W 64 75 36 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | W 64 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | L 67 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | W 64 64 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 64 64 | L 36 26 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | W 60 60 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | W 76 67 64 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona ยท 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami ยท 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami ยท 2nd Round
Mar 20
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris ยท 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ48 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 56% |
| Sets won | 80% | 56% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.