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Head-to-Head

Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz

#3 · 23 yrs · R

7Title
3–1

4 meetings · sets 9–6

Matteo Berrettini

🇮🇹Matteo Berrettini

#46 · 30 yrs · R

Carlos Alcaraz and Matteo Berrettini have met 4 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Erste Bank Open - Vienna in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 9 sets to Berrettini's 6. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Wimbledon - London (2023).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorAlcarazBerrettini
Wins in straight sets72%65%
Wins a set when losing40%32%
Goes to a deciding set30%33%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite64%36%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog0%60%
Tiebreak sets won54%50%
Wins after taking set 195%88%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 182%76%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 0, Berrettini 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Alcaraz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Berrettini

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Jul 10, 2023

Wimbledon - London

G Grass · 4th Round

36
63
63
63
Alcaraz

Feb 19, 2022

Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro

C Clay · Quarterfinals

62
26
62
Alcaraz

Jan 21, 2022

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 3rd Round

26
637
64
62
657
Berrettini

Oct 29, 2021

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

H Hard · Quarterfinals

61
627
765
Alcaraz

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeAlcarazBerrettini
1 or more92%100%
3 or more75%100%
5 or more25%78%
10 or more0%56%
15 or more0%33%
20 or more0%11%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricAlcarazBerrettini
W-L11–14–5
Avg odds1.151.82
ROI %+4.3%-25.1%
Units P/L+0.51u-2.26u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricAlcarazBerrettini
Countries32
Events32
Matches74
Distance7,032 mi · 11,317 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteGBR → JPN → CHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Berrettini's 50%).

OpponentAlcarazBerrettini
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
W
63
63
W
63
76
76
Jiri Lehecka
W
76
64
L
46
76
36
Matteo Arnaldi
W
76
61
L
57
25
Grigor Dimitrov
W
62
63
L
36
46
63
75
36
Arthur Fils
W
62
61
W
64
75
36
63
Arthur Rinderknech
W
67
63
62
W
64
64
64
Valentin Vacherot
W
64
64
L
67
46
Alexander Bublik
W
63
60
W
64
64
Joao Fonseca
W
64
64
L
36
26
Daniil Medvedev
L
36
67
W
60
60

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Alcaraz
WWWWWWWL
W

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

63
63

Oct 10

W

Jiri Lehecka

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final

764
64

Oct 6

W

Jaume Munar

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals

57
63
61

Oct 5

W

Denis Shapovalov

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals

Oct 4

W

Matteo Arnaldi

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

766
61

Oct 3

W

Alex Michelsen

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

761
46
61

Oct 1

W

Taylor Fritz

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

63
46
1311

Sep 26

L

Ben Shelton

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

765
16
36
61
67

Sep 9

Berrettini
LWLWLWLW
L

Brandon Nakashima

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

647
57

Oct 9

W

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

637
61
64

Oct 7

L

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

667
16

Oct 3

W

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

16
761
64

Oct 1

L

Mariano Navone

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
36
46
647

Sep 3

W

Stan Wawrinka

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

764
763
60

Aug 31

L

Jiri Lehecka

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
763
36

Aug 16

W

Titouan Droguet

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

36
61
64

Aug 14

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ AlcarazAlcaraz ahead↓ Berrettini

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–49 matches

MetricAlcarazBerrettini
Matches won86%57%
Sets won78%56%
Games won59%51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageAlcarazBerrettini
Grand Slam11
ATP 50020

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceAlcarazBerrettini
Hard11
Clay10
Grass10

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Berrettini FAQ

Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 3–1 over 4 meetings.